Friday, 21 November 2014

Everything happens for a reason...

So in my idle moments (of which there have been few) recently, I've been wrestling with the expression "Everything happens for a reason." which is often offered in comfort to those that are suffering. The optimist I'm cultivating within me is sure that most people who use this expression do with the best of intentions, though I know for a fact that not all do, I feel I would still like to discourage its use, for reasons I will lay out.

This expression seems to me to be what Daniel Dennett describes as a "Deepity". A "deepity" is an apparently profound, but actually largely valueless, expression that can have two meanings: one that is trivially true, and another that is false but that would be amazing if it were true. If we take a look at our topic in this light, we might get the following:

1) All events are caused by other events.
2) All events are part of some master-plan of god(s)/fate/destiny/cosmic karma.

Meaning 1 here is obvious, at least to philosophical naturalists who aren't buying into some of the whackier interpretations of quantum mechanics; so obvious as to not be worth saying and, crucially, this can't be what is meant as it offers little comfort. It would be tantamount to saying "Yeah, shit happens!" and would probably deserve a punch in the face (or at least a stern look) in any real crisis.
Meaning 2 is the amazing if true, but actually wrong, interpretation. Not only is it wrong, but it is also often insulting. It seems to say "you deserve this", and as such would be a prime example of victim-blaming.

So why do people persist in using it?

One possible reason is the "just-world fallacy", where people take comfort from the belief that evil-doers will be punished, and the righteous will be rewarded, whether in this world or the next. It's a (wrong) way of explaining away the discomfort caused by our apparent lack of control over the universe and what happens in it. "If I can't do anything about that arsehole that did a bad thing, that's OK, he'll get his, the universe/god(s)/fate/karma will get him later". And the reverse may also be true, when we see good people going unrewarded for their actions and this makes us sad or mad, we can take heart from the fact that they will get their just reward at some later point, albeit possibly only the "hereafter". I can almost see this line of reasoning helping a little; some seem to take comfort in the idea that someone or something is in control, sometimes even if that thing is hidden, and sometimes even if that thing is evil (q.v. conspiracy theories) rather than face the reality that the universe is just chaos and randomness and pitilessly indifferent to our existence.

I imagine to the religious this may be a shorthand way of reminding each other of god's existence, saying "God has a plan", but surely even that is small comfort? If god's plan includes people suffering then he's a shithead, and I can't see how this would give succour to many who pay it more than the most glancing thought. It almost seems to me that these people are actually saying "You must have done, or will do, something to make you deserve your present predicament.", which seems of little comfort: "yeah you're suffering, but don't worry, everything's OK; it's because you were a little shit when you were a teenager/in a previous life". It's a mystery to me why even the religious or other magical-thinkers would draw solace from this platitude, let alone rationalists and naturalists.

Other interpretations (and this shit really happens with alt-meddlers), is that the sufferer is being blamed for failing to think positively enough, or taking enough exercise (despite their excruciating agony or chronic fatigue), or what the writer considers an improper diet, which usually means one free from sugar/fat/meat/GMO/whatever nutritionist bullshit happens to be flavour of the month. The victim-blaming that some of these people indulge in truly beggars belief, and shows not a jot of compassion. "If only you were to welcome your condition as a gift from the universe and a joyous challenge that must be overcome, you would see things differently". Fuck that, and the horse-hair stuffed homeopathic succussion pad it rode in on.

In an attempt to follow Dennett's advice and attempt to charitably interpret a position in order to best argue against it, the best interpretation I can come up with is that the person is really trying to say something like "we live in a just world, you are a good person, and this suffering must therefore be a means to an end by which you will receive some great reward, in this life or the next!" It's cold comfort at best. It's hard to see what the reward could be in this life, and if you're speaking to someone with no belief in fate, an afterlife or reincarnation, it's almost totally worthless.

One thing people say to me when I complain about this is something like "c'mon Tim, they're trying to be comforting and we should be sympathetic to their intent." They might be right, but I would still argue that it would be better if they didn't say it, and that they were sympathetic to the person with the problem, rather than additionally burdening the sufferer with the need to be tolerant of people who say stupid things.
_____
Originally posted on Chronically Skeptical 26/07/13

Thursday, 18 April 2013

There IS a "skeptical community" and you're (probably) in it

Is there a "Skeptical Community"? Quite a few people have claimed there's no such thing over the years, with recent furores on the internet seemingly making it crop up more often. It seems blindingly obvious to me that there is a skeptical community, and that I'm an active participant in it. It's hard for me to grasp why some people deny that there is, so I set about examining the arguments made on t'internet and those that people have used in conversations I've had recently. So it's time to indulge in a bit of skeptical omphaloskepsis.

OK, so community can mean many things, what are we talking about here? The dictionary contains many definitions of the word and we can play equivocation games if you like - skeptics clearly aren't a monastic order for instance no matter how lonely some of the boys might feel    - but there is a frequent usage of the word "community" that that fits nicely, and I think is what most people intend when they use the term.

Community, n.
I. A body of people or things viewed collectively.
...
5.b. A group of people who share the same interests, pursuits, or occupation, esp. when distinct from those of the society in which they live.

Source OED on-line. Link behind paywall, but you can get free access with most UK library card numbers. What do you mean you haven't got a library card? ;D 

In the same way that people might refer to the "political community", "literary Community", or "scientific community" when they mean "the body of people who share an interest in or the practice of [thing X]." Surely everyone can agree that there is a skeptical community by this definition? A group of people who share a bunch of common interests and pursuits related to the practice of skepticism? That's all that's meant when the term is used, not some over-egged suggestion of centralised organisation or implied uniformity.

It's important not to get hung up the "esp. when distinct from..." clause in the definition; that's just dictionary-speak for "most often used for..." and nothing should be inferred about a necessary physical or virtual isolation from society at large; it just means "I'm talking about these people, not those people."

The term "skeptical community" refers to the aggregate of the people who run or attend SitP, Skeptics in the Curry House, Skeptical book-clubs and coffee meetings, Skeptical Pub-Quizzes, or those who go to TAM or QED, or write a blog on skepticism, or comment on those blogs, or tweet about it, post or read on skeptical forums, read skeptical books and magazines, join skeptical societies, clubs or otherwise interact with other skeptics, and probably also those who practice what one might call "solitary skepticism" or who endeavour to do so. I don't think anyone could deny that these things exist, or realistically deny that referring to the sum of these people collectively as a "community" is a perfectly reasonable usage of the word. These people are in a "community"; a mass of people who share some commonality, who are linked by a set of practices, pastimes, and a network of acquaintances who meet in real-life and on teh interwebs, to share their thoughts and feelings on matters of interest to skeptics, how best to practise skepticism, and talk on wide-ranging topics relating to that practice. 

In a slightly more formal sense, there are a number of things that people may mean, whether knowingly or otherwise, when they use the term:

Community of Practice
A CoP, as they are commonly known, is a group of practitioners who come together to hone their skills, share experiences and learn from each other. This could easily apply to SitP, conferences, on-line forums, and even networks of Twitter, Facebook or other social media contacts and the aggregation of these. 

Community of Interest
A Community of Interest is a group of people who share common interests. We can clearly say this about skeptics. Of course no everyone likes exactly the same stuff, but it's an overlapping set of interests including the paranormal, UFOs, cryptozoology, alt-med, anomalous psychology, science in general, specific religious claims, logic, reason, rationality etc. or even just the topic of the practice of skepticism itself.

Community of Purpose
A community of purpose is a little like a goal-oriented Community of Interest, i.e. people of a common interest who gather together, whether self-organising or otherwise, to achieve some goal. Now whether you agree with the term "Skeptical Movement" or not - which is a whole other discussion - there clearly are a large group of people who are trying to promote skepticism, critical thinking and science education to achieve some social good. There are plenty who are trying to effect political change, or influence public understanding to change things for the better. 

Community of Inquiry
This is perhaps stretching a concept a little, but a Community of Inquiry, roughly speaking, is a group of people who each collectively apply their individual expertise into solving thorny problems that none could solve alone. This is closely allied to the scientific method and, I think, what many people are trying to achieve with their skepticism. 

I think when most people use say "skeptical community" that they are generally using the term to mean one or the other or some agglomeration of several of the above specific terms, but perhaps in a broader sense then usually intended. Most of the these specific types types of community are small affairs, but the internet has changed what we can mean when we say "community"; people can interact continuously on a global scale. The skeptical community can easily be seen as any or all of the above.

Having established that there (almost) certainly is a thing, if not several things, that one can realistically call a "Skeptical Community", let's have a look at some of the common objections to the term.

"For Christ's sake Jim, it's method not a..."

Quite often when I see denial of the skeptical community, it is just bare assertion*, but some people have given reasons why they believe this to be the case:

Skepticism is a method, not a community.
Yes, this is true... but it's also irrelevant. When we say "Skeptical Community" we are referring to "A community of Skeptics" in the same way as when we say "Scientific Community" we are referring to "A community of scientists". We aren't equating the existence of the community with the practice of those within it. This objection is a non-sequitur. Of course what mean when we say "A community of skeptics" rather depends on what we mean by "Skeptic" in this context, but without getting into a deeper debate let's assume it means "Person who sees the value of, and endeavours to routinely apply, skepticism in all matters."

We aren't all the same/we don't hold the same opinions about everything/I'm not interested in the same things as everyone else. 
This is the most frequent category of objection I think. I see/hear it so often that I've taken to calling it "The appeal to lack of homogeneity", a species of red-herring. Uniformity is not a requirement of "community"; if you think it is, think of something you think could realistically be described as a community (and not in the biological sense, let's not start equivocating again), and try to think if those people all share exactly the same set of interests and practices relating to the topic. You think the "scientific community" are all the same? Would a chemist say "I'm not part of some 'Scientific community'. I'm not interested in physics or biology; those people are weird."? What about "Christian community"? You think all those people have exactly the same beliefs and practices and express them in the same way? Of course they don't. What makes these things a "community" is a set of beliefs, practices and interests from which each takes those parts that are appropriate or interesting to them. No homogeneity required. So, person X is interested in alt-med and creationism, while person Y is interested psychics and ghosts, it doesn't matter; they're both interested in the practice of skepticism as it relates to these topics. 

I don't want to be associated with opinion/person X!
While I appreciate the sentiment, you're just gonna have to suck it up. You can't opt out just by saying so; you'll have to actually withdraw from interaction with the rest of us and not just say "I don't like this; I'm not playing any more" but carry on regardless. Even if you did become some kind of skeptical hermit, you would probably still fall under the broader category of "those who endeavour to practise skepticism.", but I appreciate that this isn't the interpretation that most people intend when they use the term.

There isn't any governing body or central organisation
This is true, but also trivially so. Central administration is not a requirement of community in this sense. You may be thinking of a society perhaps? But even then...

Because I, or prominent person X, say so
Saying don't make it so. People rarely make this type of objection explicit, but I've seen a few people just saying "there's no such thing as skeptical community" without supporting evidence, and then other people saying "look person X says there isn't.".
Bare assertions and appeals to authoritative bare assertions do not make a solid case.

Just being a skeptic, or self-identifying as one doesn't make me part of some "community".
In the narrow sense of a network of interacting skeptics I might agree, as long as you're not interacting with them that is, but in the broader sense of a body of people with shared interests, I still think it does. Unless you are literally just calling yourself a skeptic and not actually practicing skepticism, in which case you are probably not in the community, but you're probably not actually a skeptic either.

I don't like its implications
Again, sorry, tough. Argument from consequences much? The fact that you don't like the implications of the term, or what the ill-informed may infer from its use, has no bearing on whether it is a valid term or a real extant phenomenon.

The "Skeptical Community" is just part of a wider community of the Society at large/UK/Europe/The World.
Again this is trivially true. All communities are part of a larger community in some regards. The "scientific community" are not isolated from the population at large, and neither are the "medical community" to name but two, and neither of these examples are invalid usage.

There are probably others, but these seem to be the main objections around at the moment.

Argumentum ad consequentiam?

With all that said, it's worth discussing why people object to the term. I think the real problem is one of generalisation. You tend to hear phrases like "The skeptical community thinks...", "The skeptical community's position is..." or "The problem with the skeptical community is..." and as with all generalisations, they are unfair to those within the population spoken of who do not share the quality under discussion. Those people will quite rightly feel misrepresented. Plus there's a more implicit problem of generalisation. Those "on the outside" do tend to view us as one mass, and anything said by one of us, or a large number of us, does reflect on the rest of us. I sometimes wish it didn't, and I wish that some people would think a little harder about this before they press the "Post" button on their blogs, but there it is. I, and everyone else, just have to suck it up.

It seems pretty clear to me that there is a Skeptical Community, but I'd be interested to hear if anyone has any arguments against that stand up to scrutiny. It's fine for people to say they don't like the term because of its implications, but people who deny the existence of the community or the validity of the concept on those grounds aren't thinking hard enough.

So the bottom-line is this:

There is a "Skeptical Community" and, if you're reading this, you're (probably) in it whether you like it or not.


* Although I do quite like an "Ipse Dixit"; it has quite a jolly ring to it, like an old-English folk-dancing step ;D

Originally posted on Skepticism-uk Aug. 2012

Saturday, 20 August 2011

The Gid(eon) Delusion

Can we? Please?
If The RDFRS published these at a reasonable price, I think I'd buy about 10 a year and drop them in various hotel rooms.

*Update : Having just read a little about Gideon Bibles and their colour coding, it seems that I have accidentally created a copy of the God Delusion destined for distribution to the law-enforcement community. 

Tuesday, 12 July 2011

Tell the homeopaths why we object.

Some homeopaths would like to find out why we're complaining about them, and what Sense About Science and the Nightingale Collaboration have got against them.

They say:
Homeopathy as a profession is under attack from groups such as Sense about Science and groups such as the Nightingale Collaboration.
This Research will gauge public opinion as to the amount of information that the public and prospective patients wish to be able to access from professionally Qualified Practitioners only.
Why not go tell 'em¿

Here's my responses:

Thursday, 23 June 2011

Tragical thinking.

So, inspired by a tweet by Tim Minchin, I'm going to try to rid myself of all the traces of magical thinking. What's magical thinking you say? Essentially it's the kind of thinking that makes bogus connections between thoughts, words or actions effects in the real world, like prayer, spell-casting or, at a lesser level, superstitious beliefs like black cats being unlucky (or lucky, depending on who you listen too). Of course I don't pray, or cast spells (any more), or avoid black cats or walking under ladders, except when safety dictates, but there are traces of this kind of thinking in some of my, and most other people's, words and mannerisms, and I'm going to try get rid of them all.

So this means no more:

  • wishing people good luck
  • crossing fingers (or saying crossed-fingers) for luck or to negate bad luck
  • touching wood (fnarr fnarr)
  • saying things like "well of course it's rained, it's because I washed the car"
  • correlating weather with my failure to dress appropriately for it
  • etc.
even in jest.
    Of course most of the time when we say or do these things we're using them as a shorthand for something else, like expressing sympathy for or solidarity with a friend in fix, or exasperation with our own stupidity. I'm just going to have to find better ways of expressing those things without indulging in stupidity. The idea that thoughts or words or actions can affect reality without a non-supernatural causal link really is one of the daftest going around, so if anyone catches me saying or doing such things, please point it out.

    I don't think it's going to be easy; wish me luck! ;)



    Update: of course there's one symbol I'm not giving up, because it's too fucking awesome, and that's the sign of warding against the evil eye, AKA the rock/metal hand.

    Sunday, 15 May 2011

    Are you chronically skeptical?

    Update: The website Chronically Skeptical is now live.

    Anyone who frequents on-line forums relating to chronic illnesses will know that they are riddled with bullshit. Sufferers of chronic illness are often desperate for some form of relief, and their conditions are often cyclical, and this makes the more gullible among them easy meat for the so-called Complementary and Alternative Medicine industry. All kinds of claims are put forward as fact without the now legendary "jot of evidence", and anyone expressing skepticism is accused of trying to deny people their relief or being in the pockets of big pharma. Often the afflicted feel let down by the conventional medicine that has failed to offer them the cure they felt sure would be available. This can lead to a mistrust of doctors and scientists, when one media-sensationalised study after another turns out to be wrong, or the silver bullet they felt was on the horizon turns out to be a blank, or to have unpleasant side-effects. In addition to this many people cling to religion to help them through, and while I would not wish to deny a sufferer the small comfort that this may bring them, it does make for annoying reading when someone writes that, f'rinstance, it's been revealed her by divine inspiration that her daughter was crippled by arthritis at an early age as part of god's will to teach them both to appreciate life more.
    All this said, these forums are a valuable resource for sufferers to share their experience, learn from others who share their condition, and share some much-needed camaraderie. But for the skeptic, this experience is easily marred by the proliferation of pseudo-scientific drivel that's trotted out unchallenged on these sites.
    So what to do? Where is the resource for those who favour an evidence base for treatments and knowledge of their condition, uncoloured by god, crystal healers, homeopaths and Hopi ear-candling? Well it's about time we started one. But, I can't do it all myself, I'll need help moderating and administrating such a resource. So, if you're a skeptic, and chronic disease sufferer or partner or friend of someone who is, and you're inclined to help out with such a project, let me know. I've got server space and the know-how to set up web-sites and forums etc. but assistance with the day-to-day admin/design/rules/moderation etc. would make it much more likely to be a genuinely useful resource. So I've registered www.chronicallyskeptical.org (which currently only points at this article); if you want to help out please contact me on offerhelp@chronicallyskeptical.org describing the kind of help you are prepared to offer, and a little about your background and why you motivated to help.

    Sunday, 24 April 2011

    Fuck Easter reprise.

    Just went to shops to buy last-minute supplies for barbecue. All major supermarkets shut. Fucking fuck Easter and the donkey it rode in on.

    Fuck Easter!

    Well it had to happen eventually didn't it?

    To save me the trouble of too much writing and you the trouble of too much reading, Here's the bullet point outline of the post I'd write if I could be arsed.

    • Easter is bullshit.
    • Chocolate eggs are:
      1. nice
      2. fuck all to do with Jesus
    • Cute chicks, both kinds, are:
      1. nice
      2. fuck all to do with Jesus
    • Cute bunnies, both kinds (!?) are:
      1. nice
      2. Fuck all to do with Jesus
    • Easter is an appropriation of a pagan fertility celebration that has, wait for it, fuck all to do with Jesus.
    • It might be named after a Germanic fertility goddess Oestre, but the only reference for that is the writings of the "venerable" Bede, but we take his word on a lot of other shit, so why shouldn't he be right about this too?
    • Jesus knew he was coming back, little bit of torture, three days dead, live in paradise for all eternity, some fucking sacrifice.
    • Not even dead three whole days.
    • One man cannot absolve another's sins/crimes, especially one they never committed (original sin pffft)
    • Probably never happened anyway.
    • What kind of stupid god makes all this shit up?
      • Turn self into man who is own son.
      • Put son in obscure place to gather small following
      • Have son tortured killed to absolve all mankind's sins including, and perhaps most importantly,  an allegorical one that happened in a garden that never existed.
    • I would say you couldn't make this shit up, except of course that someone did.
    • Yes, we all like chocolate and hot cross buns (Pagan sun-wheels? Really? Anyone got any evidence for this claim apart from some drivel trotted out by someone called "dreaming sparrow-fart" who heard it during a "pathworking" AKA "Day-dreaming" AKA "making shit up")*
    • Enjoy the holiday.
    • mmm nice eggs.

    *MOALP is as equal opportunities offending organisation.

    Sunday, 17 April 2011

    NHS homophobic? No, it's all about risk.

    I was prompted to write this by an exchange on Facebook that contained several misleading statements about why the National Blood Service won't accept blood from homosexual men (Oh no, someone is wrong on the internet!). It started with the status update:
    Fucking van drove by "NHS: Please Give Blood"
    If you'd fucking take it, maybe I would, you bigoted, closed-minded twatheads!
    This on its own wouldn't have prompted a blog post, I can appreciate the frustration that must be felt by someone who wants to perform what they perceive to be civic duty but are denied the opportunity for what seems, to them, like unfair reasons. I may disagree that they are unfair reasons, but can understand the frustration.
    Before I start with what annoyed me about the subsequent discussion, let me declare a bias; this is a somewhat emotive topic for me having watched my brother and his life-partner and suffer an array of illnesses for years and then die a slow lingering death from AIDS related illnesses in the early nineties. While the excellent staff at the The Sussex Beacon cared for John in his final months, I was told several anecdotes about homosexual behaviours that were leading to the spread of HIV. I won't relate them here as they are just that, anecdotes, and therefore only peripherally useful in any discussion about how HIV is transmitted. Plus they are twenty years out of date, and you have to hope that if the stories I was told (by gay people) of repeated acts of unprotected anal sex with random partners of unknown sexual history were true, that the gay community has responded in some way to mitigate this now. However, one thing that will not help the process of minimising the suffering caused by HIV/AIDS and AIDS related illnesses is misinformation about the manners and mechanisms in which HIV is spread and the risk factors involved, so I can get very annoyed when in response to statements like:
    To be honest, for 'men who have sex with men' it's more risky, that's just a fact unfortunately, not a matter of prejudice.
    I see people write things like:
    So that explains why the fastest growing HIV infection rates are amongst the straight community who are freely allowed to give blood?
    or in response to :
    Is it not more likely down to risk assessment than bigotry?
    Statements like this:
    No - the questionnaire doesn't address risk behaviours; have you had sex with a man since 197something? Banned - shagged a female whore without condom last night? No one asks ...
    And slightly less annoying but quite interesting is:
    It's a homophobic policy based on homophobic assumptions. Rigorous tests are carried out on donated blood. A ban when someone who's heterosexual could just as well be carrying the HIV virus reinforces prejudice.
    I think we have a number of closely related questions here:
    1. Is Male/Male sex more likely to transmit the HIV virus? And as a consequence are men who have sex with men (commonly referred to as MSM) more likely to be carrying it?
    2. Is HIV incidence really rising faster among heterosexuals than among homosexual men in the UK? And if so what is the cause?
    3. Since it is all rigorously tested before use, why are we concerned about the potential for HIV to be present in the blood anyway?
    4. Is the lifetime ban on giving blood motivated by fact or simple homophobia?
    Fortunately, one thing that didn't come up is the denial that HIV causes AIDS. No one reading this blog or who is a friend of any of my friends believes that particular regrettably oft-repeated piece of bullshit do they? No? Good; then we can proceed.

    Q1. Is Male to Male sex more likely to transmit the HIV virus? And as a consequence, in the UK, are men who have sex with men (commonly referred to as MSM) more likely to be carrying it?

    A1. Yes. Yes they are.

    Oh you need more than that? OK.
    The HIV virus is transmitted through bodily fluids. It cannot live for long outside the body, and therefore needs to get into the body either directly into the bloodstream through a wound or in an injection, or through the mucous membranes, which are delicate tissues found in the mouth, nose, eyes, ears, vagina, urethra and anus. Since I've not heard of a lot of nasal, aural or ocular sex, hetero or homo, I think we can safely forget about those, and concentrate on those in the more fun orifices. The primary difference we concerned with here is the difference between vaginal and anal intercourse; from International HIV/AIDS charity Avert's FAQ:
    Unprotected anal intercourse does carry a higher risk than most other forms of sexual activity. The lining of the rectum has fewer cells than that of the vagina, and therefore can be damaged more easily, causing bleeding during intercourse. This can then be a route into the bloodstream for infected sexual fluids or blood. There is also a risk to the insertive partner during anal intercourse, though this is lower than the risk to the receptive partner.

    Check out these stats from Avert. Let's focus on the Pie Chart at the top for now.
    This chart shows the transmission method for all diagnosed cases of HIV in the UK up to 2010. It shows that for all sexually-transmitted cases of HIV, it's around about half-and-half homo/hetero, with a slight bias toward the straight. Superficially, this might be unexpected if, as most of us have, you've been exposed to information that suggests that HIV is more prevalent among homosexuals. However we need to think a bit harder. These figures are absolute numbers, and are therefore not proportional to the to the numbers of people that fall into those groups. Estimates of the percentage of people who are homosexual vary from about 3-10% of the population. For the sake of argument, we'll use the 10% figure.
    In 2010 the total population of the UK would have been around 52,000,000, about 50/50 male/female.
    If around 10% of the male population are homosexual that gives around 2.6M  homosexual males vs 23.4M hetero males, vs. 23.4M hetero females. We shall ignore lesbians, as transmission between this group is so low as to not feature in the statistics in any significant way. Now we need the absolute figures for HIV infections, which we can again get from the Avert statistics. Sex between men: 48,748; Sex between men and women: 50,184.

    48,748 ÷ 2,600,000 ≈ 0.019 ≈ 2% of homosexual men infected with HIV.
    50,184 ÷ 46,800,000 ≈ 0.001 ≈ 0.1% of heterosexual men and women infected with HIV.


    making it twenty times more likely that a randomly selected gay man will be HIV infected than a randomly selected straight person of either gender. As it turns out, infection rates are higher among straight women than they are among straight men, so if we were to exclude women and compare gay men with straight men, this ratio would be even higher. Also, if we take a figure from the lower end of the spectrum of estimates of the proportion of gay to straight, such as 5%, this figure goes up to nearer forty times more likely even without splitting the genders.

    So, in case we didn't already know this, we've learned two things. Anal sex is more likely to transmit the HIV virus than vaginal sex, and if a donor (or sexual partner) we choose is a (randomly selected) man who has previously had MSM sex, he is at least a factor of 20 (and probably much greater) more likely to be carrying the HIV virus than a man who hasn't.

    One common response to bare assertions of the fact that anal sex among homosexuals is more likely to transmit HIV is the petulant  "Well explain why HIV infection rates are increasing faster among heterosexuals then!" as seen above, which leads us nicely to the next question, where we shall see exactly why.

    Q2. Is HIV incidence really rising faster among heterosexuals than, among homosexual men in the UK? And if so what is the cause?

    Let's go back to the data from Avert, but a bit further down the page:

    It is clear from this data, that since 1999, the infection rate has been higher, in real terms, among heterosexuals than among the MSM group. Of course this doesn't take into account the ratio of homo to heterosexual people in the population. Were we to perform similar maths (an exercise for the reader perhaps?) to that in question 1 above, we would find that, even in 2004 when the number of heterosexuals contracting HIV was around twice that of homosexuals, the rate of infection within the group is still much higher, as a percentage of the total group size, among the MSM group than among the heterosexual. Even so "where are all these new cases coming from?" is a very pertinent question, and luckily one which was answered by the Health Protection Agency in 2007. They identified that the vast majority of these new infections in heterosexuals were acquired in sub-Saharan Africa, mostly by those emigrating from Africa, and mostly by women. While the reverse is true for the MSM group where most infections were acquired in the UK. So the short answer to "Why are heterosexuals getting infected with HIV at higher rates than homosexuals then?" is a) there are more of them, and b) they are catching it in Africa. And remember this is diagnosis rates, so such a sharp increase may be due to an increase in testing among heterosexuals, either in addition to or instead of any real increase in infection rates.

    Another thing to notice is that since 2004 there's been a marked decline in hetero infection rates, this may be down to a number of factors (change in sexual practices due to increased awareness, less immigration from sub-Saharan Africa, passing the peak of cases revealed by increased testing, etc.) and while rates appear to have recently started declining slightly among the homosexual group, if current trends continue, hetero infection rates will be lower than MSM rates again in a few years.

    Q3. Since it is all rigorously tested before use, why are we concerned about the potential for HIV to be present in the blood anyway?

    Due to its small size, it is difficult to test for the presence of the HIV virus directly, so the most common form of HIV test, the ELISA antibody test, like the majority of HIV tests, does not directly check for the presence of the HIV Virus, but for the antibodies the immune system produces in an attempt to fight the infection. The problem here is that these antibodies are not normally detectable for 6-12 weeks after infection, and sometimes up to 6 months. So there is a "Window period" during which a person infected with HIV will pass the test with flying colours. There are other tests that can be performed, but these are either more complicated, and hence more expensive, to perform or they more often give false positives.

    Short answer: Yeah it's tested, but the tests aren't 100% effective, it's safer to remove the risk earlier.

    Q4. Is the lifetime ban on giving blood motivated by fact or simple homophobia?

    One thing to notice about the questionnaire given to those who would give blood is that the words "gay" or "homosexual" never appear anywhere. In the interests of plain language they don't use "MSM" either. What it does say is "Are you a man who has ever had oral or anal sex with a man, with or without a condom?" This is a bare statement of a behaviour that indicates a risk. It is not a judgement on a person's sexuality or lifestyle. Of course you may interpret this as being a politically correct, coded statement, when what they really want to say is "URGH keep that fucking gay blood away from me!" if you wish to indulge a persecution complex, but that is clearly not its intent if you think a little more rationally. There is a follow-up question for women: "In the last 12 months have you had sex with a man who has ever had oral or anal sex with another man, with or without a condom?". So apparently the advisory committee responsible for these decision is so homophobic it won't even allow women who have slept with a bisexual guy to give blood!
    There are several other criteria for who can give blood, despite what anyone may say. Our original poster for example was labouring under the misconception that it is fine for a straight man to have sex with a prostitute and give blood the next day. This is quite clearly not the case. You may not give blood if you have, in the last 12 months, had sex with anyone who has ever accepted money or drugs for sex. Of course this may not be clear if you were looking for the word "whore" in there somewhere ;) The questionnaire also forbids you from giving blood if: you have ever been a prostitute (even once) or have recently had sex with someone who has ever been a prostitute; you have ever been an intravenous drug-user or have recently had sex with someone who has; have had sex in an area where AIDS is common, or have had sex with someone else who has; have ever had hepatitis B or C or had sex with someone who has; recently had a tattoo, piercing or acupuncture; if you have visited somewhere where malaria is common or think you might be getting a cold. These are all, like the ban on MSM giving blood, because they indicate a high risk of the blood being contaminated with HIV or other blood-borne diseases; not out of prejudice against any of those groups, but because the risk factor of the blood being taken infecting the recipient is simply too high.

    So the last question that I think remains unanswered is why, if it's only up to 6 months that the tests are ineffective, is the is the restriction on MSM blood permanent? Rather than just 6 months or one year like the limit after having had sex with someone who's had sex with someone from Africa? According to HIV/Sexual-health charity the Terence Higgins Trust, the most recent review decided that:
    for example allowing MSM to donate if they haven’t had sex in the past year, this would still lead to the vast majority of gay men  being excluded from giving blood. The last review of the policy found that the risk to  the blood supply would rise by 60% if men were allowed to self assess based on these criteria. For this reason it was decided that a blanket ban was safer.

    Another interesting note about the above graphs, is that infection of IV Drug users is tiny in comparison to those infected via sexual contact. So why are these people excluded from giving blood? Quite simply it's because a greater proportion of those who take drugs intravenously are infected and therefore, for the same reason the MSM group is excluded, they are excluded too. It simply isn't worth the risk; it's not prejudice, but like much in medical risk-assessments, it's a numbers game. HIV/AIDS, and some other infections such hepatitis B and C, are problems that disproportionately affect those who have anal sex, and homosexual men are having most of the anal sex, and homosexual men are disproportionately likely to be carrying the HIV virus. This is not bigotry; it is fact.

    Of course anyone who wishes to deny services to gays based on these facts is bigoted arsehole, as is anyone who wishes deny services to someone who is HIV positive, beyond reasonable safety precautions,  regardless of their sexual orientation. And anyone who blames homosexuals for the spread of HIV, or tries to claim that AIDS is some kind of divine retribution for sin can just fuck off and die. But we mustn't allow the fear of being labelled as prejudiced to influence matters of public health, and so we exclude those in high-risk groups from giving blood regardless of whether any of those groups are persecuted minorities who are often the victims of bigotry or not. 

    Update
    It turns out that earlier this year, the NHS revised their rules to a more sensible 12 month ban after MSM sex, bringing it in line with the currently available science, but keeping an all important period in which contracted diseases may not be detectable. Of course this probably won't mean that many more gay men can give blood, unless they've remained celibate for 12 months.

    Further reading:

    Sunday, 6 March 2011

    If you must be religious...

    So apparently, the British Humanist Association's ads bearing the legend "If you're not religious, for God's sake say so." were, ridiculously, deemed "likely to cause widespread and serious offence". In a bid to demonstrate what adverts that may genuinely cause widespread and serious offence might look like, skeptical humorist blogger extraordinaire Crispian Jago came up with his own, and later tweeted asking for others to do the same. I thought it had to be done, so I offer you:

    Monday, 14 February 2011

    Fuck Valentine's Day

    Continuing my recent theme (laziness) and just linking to other posts instead of writing one...

    I was going to do a post about how Valentine's Day is a shit, but I can't be arsed. Instead read my Christmas post and mentally replace the word "Christmas" with "Valentine's Day". OK, so some of it doesn't really work very well, but you get the picture.

    Friday, 11 February 2011

    Osteomancy (or chiropractic and medical imaging)

    I think I spend about half my working life worrying about the potential for, and trying to minimise, the exposure of patients and healthcare practitioners to unnecessary radiation, right down to worries about amounts so small that you might conceivably expect to receive more from cosmic rays while on a transatlantic flight. So when some bright spark put up ads for a local chiropractor on all the office noticeboards showing a picture of him holding an x-ray I experienced a minor apoplexy. I was going to write a lengthy blog post about the ALARP principle and the fact the the spine-wizards freely admit that their magical "subluxations" can't be detected by conventional means, and that they're not required to have genuine medical training and so aren't qualified to detect anything that might counter-indicate their manipulations. But while googling for some references I found that Le Canard Noir had got there first. Damn him!

    Wednesday, 19 January 2011

    Another attempt to make the Soil Association see sense.

    So I received a wholly unsatisfactory response from the Soil Association to my enquiry about their recommendation of the use of homeopathy to treat farm animals. It's worth another go isn't it?
    Hi Georgia,
    Thank you very much for your response. Unfortunately it largely fails to address the points of concern in my email. While I applaud your commitment to animal welfare and all the measures you require regarding conditions the animals are kept and transported in and the prevention of habitual, unnecessary use of growth-hormones and antibiotics, homeopathy cannot be seen to be a valid part of such a practice. You speak of using alternative medicines "where these can be shown to be effective", but the standards of evidence you use to determine this must be set very low indeed in order for homeopathy to be included in any treatment regime. The opinion of any number of organic farmers or even veterinarians, based on their personal experience is not the same as data from genuine trials, it is just a collection of anecdotes, which proves nothing. The only way to genuinely prove the effectiveness of an intervention is through a properly controlled trial including subject and experimenter blinding, and a control group, the allocation to which is randomised. Such tests repeatedly demonstrate that Homeopathy is not effective for anything. If you (or Yeo Valley and their vets) have references to papers describing such studies that demonstrate the effectiveness of homeopathy for, using two examples from Yeo Valley blog, the control of flies or reducing stress in livestock, I would be very interested to read them.
    You say that the "philosophy" of homeopathy would encourage empathy or observance in stockmen; I have read fairly widely on this practice and have not come across anything that would indicate this to be the case. Perhaps you could direct me to some reference?
    The bottom line is that, as has been demonstrated by the available scientific literature, homeopathy is not an effective intervention for anything it has so far been tested for, and that enough work has been done to indicate that further testing would be a waste of time and money. If an intervention is required then an effective one should be given or this is neglect. If no intervention is required then one should not be given otherwise the price - a significant barrier to adoption by many consumers - of organic produce is needlessly driven up. The worst possible situation is where an intervention is required and an ineffective one is given, thus both neglecting the animal and driving up the price of produce. Vets who practice or encourage homeopathy may be well-meaning but have been fooled by the unscientific  nonsense that surrounds the practice of so-called "complementary" and "alternative" medicines. 
    I feel that adherence to the recommendation of this practice tarnishes the reputation of your organisation and would again recommend that you strongly reconsider it and raise the bar of evidence for medical interventions you recommend significantly. 
    Please do not think I am against your organisation in principle, I just think that adherence to complementary medicines, and particularly obvious bunk like homeopathy, does you a disservice that hampers the adoption of organic produce by consumers; it will cause some who support your cause to abandon it as it both gives a poor impression of your ability to correctly judge scientific evidence, and constitutes unintentional neglect of the animals.
    Regards,
                 T.McG.

    Tuesday, 18 January 2011

    The Soil Association Replies

    Here's what I've been sent in response to my email (and Ben's Tweets presumably)




    Dear Tim,
    Thank you for your letter regarding the use of homeopathy in organic standards.
    The trust and support you have given the Soil Association is much appreciated and I am sorry you feel this issue may make you re-consider buying organic produce given our ongoing commitment to, and highest level of engagement with, animal health and welfare.
    The welfare of animals is central to Soil Association organic principles - No system of farming has higher levels of animal welfare standards than organic farms working to Soil Association standards and Compassion in World Farming believes the “Soil Association's welfare standards are leaders in the field.” (Joyce d'Silva).
    Under organic rules, all aspects of animal health and welfare are tightly controlled, including rearing, shelter, feeding, transportation and slaughter. We do however believe that ensuring good health is better than relying on drugs to treat disease, which is why we put so much emphasis on practices that encourage healthy farm animals. Organic farmers do this in many practical ways, such as keeping numbers down to reduce stress, providing appropriate nutritious feed and ensuring easy access to the outdoors. Organic animals cannot be given growth promoting hormones, regular doses of antibiotics or genetically modified (GM) feed.
    Encouraging healthy farm animals also means using complementary therapies where appropriate. Under our standards, sick animals are treated using complementary remedies- of which homeopathy is one part of- where these can be shown to be effective, unless a vet says an animal needs antibiotics or other medicines; in which case they must be given. When this happens organic standards require a set period of time has to pass before the animal can produce products for sale as organic. These are generally three times as long as those required by law for non-organic food. 
    For all complementary therapies our standards specify that they are used 'with professional veterinary guidance and provided that their healing effect works for the species and condition you are treating'. This affords farmers and their professional advisors the freedom to make choices for the animals under their responsibility, in full knowledge that they will lose organic status if we find that they have not met their overriding duty to ensure good animal welfare. 
    The underlying philosophy of homeopathy will support the farmer to be more observant and empathetic stockman, which has to be a good thing. For more serious problems, conventional treatments, such as antibiotics, may also be needed to help return an animal to good health. The important thing is that we actively encourage each and every organic farm to create a model for optimum health and vitality, that sees disease as a reflection of something deeper in the system that needs correcting, and that uses conventional drugs when genuinely needed, rather than as substitute for poor husbandry. 
    We have much collective experience that for many routine problems homoeopathic and herbal treatments will be do the job very well, without any compromise to animal welfare, and put simply, many farmers and vets find that the homoeopathic approach works - which is why they continue to use it. The choice of treatment is ultimately down to the livestock keeper. This blog from Yeo Valley talks about use of homeopathy on their farms if you're interested in reading more -http://blog.yeovalleyorganic.co.uk/alternative-treatments-for-our-cows/
    We do not shy away from the debate that surrounds this therapy with both sides of the argument receiving regular airings in our own membership publications. I would encourage you look at some more sources of information on this large and in-depth field – I have included these below.
    I hope this explains our position sufficiently and that you feel able to continue to support our work. 
    Best wishes,Georgia Catt
    To see our standard on complementary veterinary medicines, including homeopathic treatments see section 10.9 of our organic standards onlinehttp://www.soilassociation.org/Certification/Standards/tabid/353/Default.aspx
    A wide range of treatments and debate about their use can be found in the proceedings of the SAFO workshopshttp://www.safonetwork.org/index.html These present a balanced perspective from across Europe and show that veterinary professionals are on both side of the debate.


    Georgia CattPress & e-Communications Officer
    Hats off to them for bothering to respond. Needless to say I still disagree and will be responding in the not too distant future.

    Friday, 7 January 2011

    Atheist school visits?

    So an interesting question was posed on Facebook by a theistic neo-pagan pal; interesting enough, I thought, to be worthy of a relatively comprehensive response, so here it is.

    The feint went thus:
    To all my good atheist/Dawkins following/SitP friends out there, please indulge me, I am curious, if you were invited to go to a local school and do a talk on the subject would you accept?
    and then after a number of responses from atheist/skeptics in the affirmative, the actual thrust of the argument:
    "very interesting. I didn't really set a context but the question came up in a conversation the other day. Most people who share Dawkins view would be up in arms going bonkers if a priest came to give a talk at there local school, explaining and encouraging his religion.. yet most dedicated Athiests etc don't see any reason why they should not do so themselves. Is this not a touch... hypocritical?"
    With the follow up, which I'm assuming was at least half in jest :
    P.s. What do Athiests call a Devil's advocate?
    In the interests of any easy win, I'll hit the postscript first; most of us call it a "Devil's advocate". By and large we're not so prissy as to reject accepted metaphorical language constructs, even when they originate from a now defunct role within the Catholic church. I don't hate the term, but I do hate how it's often used these days. I may elaborate on why in a later post, but for now let's get back to the meat.

    I think in order to adequately talk about this topic it's important to get a bit of groundwork done; there are a number of points that need making clear up front.
    1. There is a bias toward faith, and particularly the Christian faith, both implicit and explicit in the state schooling of the UK.
    2. Atheism is not a faith-based position, nor is it a type of religion, nor is it a belief system. Flippantly "Atheism is a religion only in the same sense that baldness can be said to be a hair-colour"1
    3. It's by no means clear that all, or even most, atheists would be "up in arms" if a religious leader were to talk to a class, depending on the religious leader, in the right context. This appears to be a straw man.

    a. The Faith Bias.
    I shan't dwell too long on the tolerance of Faith schools, which have been shown to be divisive within society by perpetuating mistrust and intolerance, which would otherwise dissipate (and don't actually improve results by and large but achieve better results by the tighter selection criteria). I also shan't talk for too long about the idiotic new idea of academies, which allow religious organisations free reign with most of the syllabus. But it is worth talking about the mandatory requirement in state-funded schools (apart from the new academies), for a daily act of "collective worship...wholly or mainly of a broadly Christian character". Now you may argue that parents may withdraw their children from such a practice, which is clearly an anachronism in a country where the majority now say they are not religious. However this would single out such children as different and expose them to ridicule, and additionally there is no mechanism for a child that is so inclined to opt out for themselves.
    There is no mandated syllabus for religious education, so faith schools are free to teach only their brand of supernatural nonsense with no requirement even to tell pupils of any age that there are other religious viewpoints, let alone that it is perfectly normal to believe in no gods.
    Religion gets a shoe-in at all state funded schools, faith schools and academies, an atheist speaker would go some tiny way to providing a little much needed balance. Is it hypocrisy to ask for a small redress of a significant imbalance? or to take the chance if it's offered?

    b. Atheism is not a religion or faith-based position.
    Atheist simply means "not a theist". A "theist" is a person who believes in the existence of god or gods, an "atheist" is simply someone who is not one of those people; a person who has no belief in a god or gods. This encompasses a pretty broad spectrum of positions including
    • most people who self-profess as agnostics: those who believe it is not possible to know for certain whether god exists, and IMHO those who either haven't yet thought about it hard enough, and those who are pretty sure there's no god, but are too chicken to state their opinion clearly.
    • people who don't actively believe in god but aren't really sure (see above)
    • those who think there's probably no god, but are open to further credible evidence (no, you can't reasonably call these people agnostics)
    • those who are certain there is no god, of whom there are very few; N.B. not even Dawkins puts himself in this category.
    and all points in between. Being an atheist does not require the belief of anything that cannot be proven.
    The hypocrisy charge won't stand, because it is not comparing like for like to consider a school visit from an atheist to that of a religious leader.

    c. Are atheists really against religious people talking to schools?
    Now I couldn't possibly accuse such an honest and genuine chap as our questioner of such tactics, but this statement seems akin to a theme/strategy often used by the religious where they say "atheists think this, and that's just stupid/hypocritical" when actually atheists don't really think that at all, and the accuser has either just assumed something without asking any atheists, have only asked one or two possibly unrepresentative or stupid ones, or is deliberately and deceitfully constructing a straw-man to poke sticks at. Let's be clear that it's very hard to say what all atheists believe, since they explicitly share nothing in common except the absence of belief in a deity; I can only tell you what I, and many eminent atheists such as Dawkins and particularly atheist philosopher Daniel Dennett believe. In his work "Breaking the Spell : Religion as a Natural Phenomenon" Dennett proposes that the key to eliminating, not all religion, but those forms of religion that are most toxic, is to ensure that a proper religious education is given to all children. By "toxic" he means those forms of fundamentalism that cause people to perform horrific acts like beating up homosexuals, practising genital mutilation, shooting abortion doctors, blowing themselves up or flying planes into buildings; and by "proper" he means religious education that teaches about all religions, the history of that religion, and what people of that religion believe. Of course, despite atheism not being a religion, the syllabus must also make it clear to the students that there are people who follow no faith. Crucially, no child should be allowed to be excluded from such learning; surely any religion worth its salt can stand up to its practitioners learning about others? He even goes as far as to say that it doesn't matter how it is taught: the teacher could say "this is what those idiot Muslims/Hindus/Jains/Neo-Pagans/atheists think, and we know they're wrong" as long as they also make it clear that they will be tested on their knowledge of the beliefs and practices, not on their opinions of them. I won't go into the reasons why Dr Dan thinks this will work, but suffice to say that this idea is endorsed by many athiests including Dawkins and representatives of the National Secular Society and British Humanist Association.
    It is of course true that many atheists would get angry at the thought of certain religious dogmas being taught to children: that homosexuality or the use of condoms is a sin, that women are inferior to men, that women should be stoned to death for showing their hair among examples of religious twattery; but you would hope that atheists wouldn't be the only people to become annoyed at such idiocy. And, of course we reserve the right to ridicule even the most harmless religious nonsense, but object to them telling children that's what they believe? Probably not.

    To summarise, I don't think it is true that atheists (at least not all atheists, or even the so called "new" atheist celebrities) would object to a religious person explaining to a school what it is they believe, as long they weren't preaching hate, and even if it were true, it's not comparing like for like to compare atheists with the faithful, and even if that were true, it would still not be hypocrisy for an atheist to agree to present their beliefs to a school, in fact it would be a much needed step toward redressing the balance.


    1 Anyone know the original source of this quote? I'd love to know.

    Monday, 27 December 2010

    Toward bullshit-free organic farming.

    Why is it that compassion for animals and pseudo-scientific hippy bullshit seem to go hand in hand so often? Well one possibility is that the Soil Association, who set and certify against the standards farms have to meet to put "Organic" on their produce, discourage "allopathy" and encourage homeopathic "remedies" as an alternative. Even DEFRA have seemingly bought into this idiocy and encourage homeopathy for organic farms.

    I've decided I'd like to do something about it, and I think the first step is to try to find out where this requirement comes from. To that end, I've written an email to the press office* at the Soil Association.

    Dear Sir/Madam,

    I write to you as a consumer and meat-eater who is strongly concerned about the welfare of farmed animals. While I applaud much of the work of the Soil Association, and admire the ideals of the organic standard with respect to reduced pesticides, greater freedoms for animals etc, there is one area that troubles me strongly. Homeopathic treatments have no plausible scientific method of operation and have been demonstrated not to work time and time again. There is no properly controlled evidence from studies that cannot be biased by the opinions of the investigators that demonstrate its efficacy beyond the placebo (and yes animals are susceptible to placebo by proxy). The current state of the best scientific evidence available indicates that homeopathic remedies are worthless. I put it to you that using worthless "remedies" on animals is not compassion, it is neglect. Where an ineffective intervention is given in place of effective one animals suffer needlessly, whether it is given as treatment for an existing condition or as prophylaxis against a potential one. In addition to this, the cost of these ineffective medicines must of course contribute to higher price of organic produce, which is a significant barrier to adoption by some consumers. Of course you may say that they are cheaper than conventional medicines in some respects (although I suspect vets fees are similar), but since homeopathic preparations do nothing it would be cheaper and no less neglectful to give no treatment at all. 
    I buy all organic produce where possible, but as a result of the discovery that you and the organic standards endorse the useless practice of homeopathy, I am having to strongly reconsider and may simply buy free-range where possible. I think that on-balance this may be more ethical, since at least there is a greater likelihood of these animals receiving adequate care.
    I would like to know where this policy originates, and urge you to reconsider it. I would begin by reviewing the results of the recent government panel on homeopathy, which adequately sums up the best evidence available, and concludes that it is nothing more than a placebo and that sufficient testing has been performed to confirm this such that no more research need be undertaken to confirm it. http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200910/cmselect/cmsctech/45/45.pdf
    Please could you put me in touch with the best person with whom I should communicate on this matter, in the hope that I can convince them to have this policy changed, or at the very least understand why it is present. 
    Regards,
                T.McG.

    We'll see if I get anything back.


    *They don't seem to have an address on their site where consumers can express their concerns or ask questions. If anyone knows of one, I'd love to hear from you.

    Sunday, 1 August 2010

    Homeopathy: treats the disease, not just the symptoms like conventional medicine.

    Short answer:
    • No it doesn't, it doesn't treat anything
    • The whole endeavour of homeopathy is based around only looking at symptoms, and not in determining the real cause of the disease.
    • this is based on a complete misunderstanding of the way genuine medicine actually works
    A little more:

    This is a most interesting claim and it's based on three main incorrect assumptions:
    1. That homeopathy works at all.
    2. That homeopathy is concerned with anything other than symptoms
    3. That conventional medicine only treats symptoms.
    Claim 1 will be dealt with in a later post so we won't talk about it here, except to remind readers that there is no good quality, repeatable evidence from properly conducted trials to show that homeopathy is effective for anything, so we'll focus on 2 and 3.
    Homeopathy was invented in a time when it was not understood that many diseases are caused by microbes, and therefore it has absolutely nothing to say about this. It's entire foundation is based on the "like cures like" principle that essentially says "substances cause symptom X can cure all diseases that also have symptoms like X." For example one of the indications of Arsen Album (That's arsenic to you and me) is purported to be for mouth ulcers, because if drink arsenic your mouth understandably becomes rather ulcerated. There are a number of causes (bacterial, viral, fungal etc.) of mouth ulcers, and homeopathy is silent on all of these, because it claims that all that is needed to select the correct treatment is a description of the symptoms, and the cause is irrelevant (Or perhaps some mythical "miasm"). Some go on to claim that what is happening is that the remedy is somehow activating the bodies own defences against the cause, but I have dealt with that already in another post.
    When it comes to conventional medicine (often referred to as "Allopathy" by quacks and their adherents) the example is often given that a decongestant merely masks the symptoms of a cold, and therefore all of genuine medicine deals only with symptoms and not looking for the cause of the symptoms. This example is a ridiculous strawman argument, and the whole idea is just plain wrong. Antibiotics treat the microbes that are the root causes of disease, as do antivirals and antiretrovirals; vaccines prevent the root causes of disease; radiotherapy and chemotherapy eliminate the cancers that are the cause of distress; other treatments correct chemical imbalances that cause a variety of disorders. The accusation that genuine medicine does not consider causes is quite simply false. Of course there are medicines that seek to alleviate symptoms while the disease is otherwise treated, or while it resolves itself, or where there is no known cure, but it is an outright lie to suggest that all medicines are such.
    The charge that conventional medicine sees patients as simply a collection of symptoms while homeopathy sees the whole patient and their condition is one that is designed to appeal to the emotion of the sufferer and make them feel cared for; it is not only wrong but is also more accurately levelled at homeopaths themselves. Homeopaths make this claim but cannot in any way substantiate it, while their whole methodology is based around the study of symptoms without any concern for the actual cause.

      Monday, 26 July 2010

      Government Policy on Homeopathy is...

      ...bullshit.
      My summary of the report: 
      • Yes we know homeopathy is worthless bullshit, but some people don't know or don't believe it's bullshit, so we'll let individual regions' trusts decide whether they want to spend public money on it. 
      • We promise to tell people it doesn't work though, but we'll still buy it for them with your money if they still want it after we've told them. 
      • It's too difficult to find out how much we're currently spending on it, so we won't bother. 
      • We'll continue to allow people to put indications on remedies, because it's better to have something rather than nothing on the label (even if that something is wrong), because at least then we can regulate how they are made. 
      • It's OK to lie to people about how these pills can cure minor self-limiting illnesses, and that probably won't lead to people thinking it works for Malaria or AIDS.
      Fucking moronic cowards.

      Please read the sci-tech evidence check report, if you haven't already.

      Sunday, 11 July 2010

      Homeopathy: it's natural.

      Short answer:
      • No it isn't - it's extremely artificial and contrived.
      • Even if it were, something being "natural" is no guarantee of either effectiveness or harmlessness.
      A little more:
      As with the claim that homeopathy is an ancient tradition, I suspect the reason some make this assertion is due to a confusion of homeopathy with herbalism. It's important to remember that homeopathy is not herbalism; herbalists can at least genuinely claim that their treatments are "natural", for what it's worth, and unlike homeopathy many of them even have active ingredients.
      All kinds of ingredients are used at the start of the homeopathic process, many of which may be considered natural, but the process of dilution and succussion is anything but. For a full description of the manufacturing process and it's origins, see my earlier post. And in any case, the idea that because something meets some arbitrary definition of "natural" does not necessarily mean it will work, or that it's somehow more in tune with your body and hence safer than any lab produced chemical. Go eat a handful of nightshade berries or fly agaric if you don't believe me1. This fallacy this particular claim falls under is the Appeal to Nature.
      The only other things that could be meant by this claim of naturalness is that the remedy somehow stirs the body's natural defences into action, and I have dealt with that claim here.


      1 Do not do this under any circumstances.

      Homeopathy: Activates the body's own natural healing processes.

      Short answer:
      • No it doesn't - there is no biologically plausible method for this to occur, and there is no credible evidence for it having ever occurred.
      A little more:
      This little number is often explained as operating a little like a vaccine; e.g. the remedy somehow tells the immune system "look for things that cause symptoms like this" and that stirs it into action. Of course this a completely false analogy, and it wouldn't work even if the analogy were valid.
      Vaccines work by introducing a harmless form of an actual microbe into the body. The immune system produces antibodies against that microbe and this enables it to be prepared for invasion of the genuine microbe (or ones very like it) should it encounter it at a later date.
      Homeopathic remedies with "potencies" beyond 12c do not contain anything other than water, and even below that the content is negligible. There is nothing present for the immune system to learn from. Even if there were still some of the original preparation present, this would not stir the immune system into life when encountering a genuine illness-inducing microbe. Most of the the "mother tinctures" for those homeopathic remedies that are used for microbial diseases bear no structural relationship to the actual cause of the malady, and thus immune system will not recognise the real thing when it arrives. Additionally remedies are rarely prescribed as preventatives (with the exception of "nosodes" like the one idiotically prescribed for malarial prophylaxis), there are usually given when the disease is already present and the immune system is already fighting the disease, and has no need of such activation.
      Add to this the fact that homeopathic remedies are also prescribed for disorders where the immune system has little or no involvement (like anxiety or type-2 diabetes), and for auto-immune related disorders (coeliac disease, rheumatoid arthritis) where the problem is that the immune system perceives part of the sufferer's own body as an enemy, and all that is left is a supernatural explanation for homeopathy's supposed mechanism of action. Some would attempt to counter these arguments by saying the immune system thing is just an illustrative analogy. They are then hard pressed to described any plausible actual mechanism by which their claims may be substantiated. Homeopaths' talk of vital forces and miasmas is just medieval thinking, and this whole argument of activating the body's own natural defences is simply superficially plausible nonsense.